Assessing Exchange Rate Hypotheses within Southern Africa

Assessing Exchange Rate Hypotheses within Southern Africa focuses on fourteen Southern African Development Community countries (SADC). It features a set of tests of the purchasing power parity (PPP) theorem and the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) theorem amongst these countries using the very latest time - series econometrics techniques. The analysis employs the Full Information Maximum Likelihood Multivariate Co - integration methodology developed by Johansen (1988, 1991) and Johansen and Juselius (1990, 1991). Of novel interest is the application of a long run structural modeling approach first suggested by Pesaran and Shin (1997). The technique imposes independent theory restrictions on the coefficients of the accepted co - integrating vectors based on long - run economic theory, in order to reach conclusions apropos the validity of the propositions under study. It demonstrates an application of the most recent modeling tools in time - series econometrics.